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Fanno1
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Fanno1

Post Number: 9977
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 24.249.211.73

Rating: N/A
Votes: 0

Posted on Wednesday, August 02, 2017 - 1:02 pm:   


Ajaatasatru:




bill ekkada aviailable ledu anukunta...


something has to be done for sure..

How long does it take for an Indian to get a green card via EB2?
Anonymous
Anonymous
Answered Jul 25
Super funny to see people say durations like 15-20 years.

If you do apply for a EB2 green card and start the perm process (the first step) TODAY, without question, your wait WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 70 YEARS.

Let me break up everything to you, the USCIS should actually post this in front of the Indian consulate as an FYI for H1B candidates so that they know what they are getting themselves into.

I485 pending applications:

This is the I485 inventory - which is those people who have applied for their adjustment of status - i485 and are still waiting to get their green card.

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/defa...

If you go to page 7 of that pdf, you will find the number of people who have I485 pending applications. The number is 33,147.

Now, you say, well that seems small right?

The USCIS issues 2800 green cards per year each for EB2 and EB3. Which brings us to a total of 5600 green cards per year.

I have to include EB3 because after 5 years of experience, the EB3 guy will upgrade to EB2 to get his green card faster.

So 31567/5600 = ~5.9 = 6.0 years (Number 1)

Oh, so six years, right, you will get your green card in six years.

Not so fast!

You see, there are Indians who have quit the USA in frustration and are working elsewhere in Australia, Canada or India waiting for their priority date to become current. They will apply for consular processing at the USA consulate in their country when the priority date is current (Looking at the i485 pending inventory, you can see that people are applying NOW from 1999 - 2008 JUL).

Let’s at-least add another 15000 people in this category that will pop up at random times.

15000/5600 = 2.7 years

Oh so its only 8.7 years. 8.7 years of wait time (mostly one parent dead by this time) and you get your green card.

Not so fast!

Well, you see, the i485 pending inventory list has applications only till 2010 April for EB2 and 2007 August for EB3. The year is now 2017. You wonder, what happened to the rest?

Now, lets start the calculation for that.

EB3 2007 -> 2010 - lets add 5000 applications = ~1 year approx

Except 2009, all other years till 2017, the H1B CAP was maxed out. Assuming atleast 70% Indians each year get accepted in the CAP and 60% move to the United States and apply for EB2 or EB3.

That number is 85000(H1 seats per year)*(60/100)*8=408,000 possible EB2 or EB3 applications after the pending inventory gets cleared.

408,000/5600=72 years

Adding all of them up:- 72+1+2.7+6= 82.55 YEARS.

And that is approximately the total wait time for EB2 if you apply for EB2 today!

Your welcome

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