Musicfan
Bewarse Legend Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68282 Registered: 05-2004 Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A Votes: 0 | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 9:15 am: | |
In 2014 AP, TDP+BJP got 46.79 % votes off which 44.61 was BJP and 2.18% was BJP. YSRCP got 44.58%. With 8.63 % votes going to others ( congress + Independents ) So basically both TDP and YSRCP got almost same % of votes. BJP and Pawan made the difference that YSRCP lost the power. In 2019, YSRCP got polled 49.95% TDP 39.18 % JSP got 6.8%. BJP 0.84%. With 3.23% votes going to others. ( congress + PSP+ Independents ) NOW COMING TO MATH: Assuming, BJP votes have gone to YSRCP, Most share of votes that JSP got were from TDP. The number exactly match, TDP, 44.61 - 1.34 ( BJP votes reduction) - 2.27 (2/3 of TDP votes going to JSP) = 39.214 YSRCP 44.58+1.34(votes of BJP) - 1.12 (1/3 of votes going to JSP ) + 5.4% (Growth in other votes ) = 50.198 So for the loss of TDP, the Split of JSP like what PRP did in 2009 and other % votes going to YSRCP made the sweep. How the other votes 5.4% went to YSRCP is the key. Mainly youth voters are part of the 5.4% and as I said long time ago, youth are between Jagan and PK, but they made no impact to Pawan, but they made huge impact to Jagan.. With these numbers even before going to elections, TDP has lost it. Jagan just with padayatra ensure his votebank is intact, social media lo youth ensured they got what they wanted. Mr Majnu Audio Review
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